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+$75No · avg 71¢ → 78¢ · $828
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 3. The prices it paid implied about 2.0 wins, so it did -67.7 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-67.7 pts
Called / graded
0/3
Expected from price
2.0
Flagged volume
$910.6k
Sample size3 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±16.9 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$45.6k
Last 30 days +$4,176 · $20.48M volume · 18,995 trades · since Dec 31, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$217.2k
Open P&L · 18 positions
−$53.4k
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
297d
1470 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 3 | 0 | 2.0 | -67.7 pts |
History
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xaac246…