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What this means. A wallet put $33.8k on No, at a price that gave it a 100% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 2?excluded
$33.8k
BUY No @ 99.9¢ · 33,808 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)Crypto

What happened

Wallet upont took No (buy) for $33.8k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 100% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $33.8k+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 100¢ means
100%chance the market gave
—American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
99.9¢
Implied odds
99.9%
Size
$33.8k
Placed
Mar 02, 11:59 EST
Market close
Mar 02, 12:00 EST
Result
No
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
upont
Tx
0x514b90a5…
This wallet's graded record
0/3-67.7 pts
expected 2.0 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade +0 pts
No price · entry 99.9¢ · resolved No
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 99.9¢ · $33.8k WHALE $33.8K @ 99.9¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 2?LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ $10.9k99% KazumiKitano2236d agoexcluded