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What this means. A wallet put $15.2k on No, at a price that gave it a 100% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?excluded
$15.2k
BUY No @ 99.9¢ · 15,244 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteOther

What happened

Wallet upont took No (buy) for $15.2k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 100% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $15.2k+0
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 100¢ means
100%chance the market gave
—American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
99.9¢
Implied odds
99.9%
Size
$15.2k
Placed
Mar 26, 12:00 EDT
Market close
Mar 26, 15:44 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
upont
Tx
0xbc0eeb72…
This wallet's graded record
0/3-67.7 pts
expected 2.0 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade +0 pts
No price · entry 99.9¢ · resolved No
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 99.9¢ · $15.2k WHALE $15.2K @ 99.9¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $18.9k0% LinaBell🦊212d agoexcluded
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $27.9k100% SergeyFora212d agoexcluded
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $40.4k0% KARMASUR212d agoexcluded
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $17.2k100% Boss7212d agoexcluded
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $17.8k100% Donkolo212d agoexcluded