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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 2 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.9 wins, so it did +4.5 pts better than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+4.5 pts
Called / graded
2/2
Expected from price
1.9
Flagged volume
$516.0k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±14.7 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$5,798
Last 30 days −$0 · $22.47M volume · 14,880 trades · since Oct 22, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$51.4k
Open P&L · 0 positions
+$0
Closed-position win rate
84%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
367d
525 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 2 | 2 | 1.9 | +4.5 pts |
History
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xf5d920…