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Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $113.1k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 99% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$113.1k
BUY Yes @ 99.3¢ · 113,900 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $100kHeavy favorite2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)5× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet upont took Yes (buy) for $113.1k at an average 99.3¢. At that price the market implied a 99% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $113.1k+2
Near-certain price-2
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 99¢ means
99%chance the market gave
−14288American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 99.3¢
- Implied odds
- 99.3%
- As American odds
- −14288 no vig
- Size
- $113.1k
- Placed
- Jun 21, 22:45 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 21, 21:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- upont
- Tx
- 0x666d2410…
This wallet's graded record
0/3-67.7 pts
expected 2.0 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| HIGH SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $364.1k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $11.0k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $19.7k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.8k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $14.5k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $123.8k | excluded |