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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.2 wins, so it did -58.5 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-58.5 pts
Called / graded
0/2
Expected from price
1.2
Flagged volume
$118.6k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±34.8 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$80.3k
Last 30 days +$0 · $4.67M volume · 665 trades · since May 30, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$140.7k
Open P&L · 84 positions
−$217.4k
Closed-position win rate
71%
121 closed
Wallet age · markets
147d
201 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 2 | 0 | 1.2 | -58.5 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | LOW BUY France @ 60¢ | $30.0k | missed |
| Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance | LOW BUY Argentina @ 76¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? | LOW BUY Yes @ 57¢ | $15.0k | missed |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $14.7k | excluded |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $19.2k | excluded |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $19.7k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x896e29…