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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.5 wins, so it did +45.4 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+45.4 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.5
Flagged volume
$41.3k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±49.8 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$74.8k
Last 30 days +$0 · $1.23M volume · 135 trades · since Oct 26, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$49.5k
Open P&L · 29 positions
−$117.4k
Closed-position win rate
67%
27 closed
Wallet age · markets
728d
58 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 1 | 0.5 | +45.4 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Netherlands vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score | LOW BUY Yes @ 55¢ | $15.0k | called |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $14.5k | excluded |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $11.8k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xa04c42…