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Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $19.8k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 96% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?excluded$19.8k
BUY Yes @ 96¢ · 20,656 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet upont took Yes (buy) for $19.8k at an average 96¢. At that price the market implied a 96% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $19.8k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 96¢ means
96%chance the market gave
−2400American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 96¢
- Implied odds
- 96.0%
- As American odds
- −2400 no vig
- Size
- $19.8k
- Placed
- Jun 27, 18:55 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 27, 17:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- upont
- Tx
- 0xbb5227e7…
This wallet's graded record
0/3-67.7 pts
expected 2.0 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $82.5k 5.0× usual |
excluded |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $66.6k | excluded |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $25.9k | excluded |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? | LOW BUY Yes @ 98.1¢ | $11.8k | excluded |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? | LOW BUY Yes @ 91.9¢ | $20.9k | excluded |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? | HIGH BUY Yes @ 87¢ | $170.1k 6.4× usual |
excluded |