Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?
Who's on each side
Whale money on this market, split by track record. Proven wallets beat the price over 20+ graded bets; losing wallets clearly lost to it. Everyone else is unrated.
| Side | All whales | Proven | Losing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | $5.39M 29 flags |
$583.3k 2 wallets |
$143.5k 1 wallet |
| No | $1.43M 19 flags |
$35.5k 1 wallet |
none |
| Not Yes | $228.9k 7 flags |
none | none |
| Not No | $13.1k 1 flag |
none | none |
A proven wallet on a side is a reason to look closer, not a verdict. Records come from past bets; see how to use this. Information, not advice.
Flags on this market
| Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $82.5k 5.0× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $66.6k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $25.9k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 98.1¢ | $11.8k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 96¢ | $19.8k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 91.9¢ | $20.9k | excluded |
| HIGH BUY Yes @ 87¢ | $170.1k 6.4× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 93.5¢ | $16.8k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 93.4¢ | $10.0k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 91¢ | $10.3k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 90¢ | $16.7k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 73¢ | $13.1k | excluded |
| MED BUY No @ 50¢ | $91.4k 2.2× usual |
excluded |
| MED BUY Yes @ 81¢ | $69.7k | excluded |
| MED BUY No @ 18¢ | $75.3k | excluded |
| HIGH BUY Yes @ 77¢ | $165.7k 6.2× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 55¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 54¢ | $45.2k | excluded |
| HIGH BUY Yes @ 54¢ | $804.0k 3.3× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 47¢ | $11.0k | excluded |
| HIGH BUY No @ 46¢ | $680.1k 4.6× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 46¢ | $46.0k | excluded |
| MED BUY Yes @ 55¢ | $16.0k | excluded |
| MED BUY Yes @ 55¢ | $17.0k | excluded |
| MED BUY Yes @ 55¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| MED BUY Yes @ 55¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 55¢ | $12.2k | excluded |
| MED BUY No @ 45¢ | $115.1k 2.4× usual |
excluded |
| MED BUY Yes @ 55¢ | $143.5k 2.3× usual |
excluded |
| HIGH BUY Yes @ 55¢ | $900.0k 2.6× usual |
excluded |
| MED BUY No @ 46¢ | $119.0k 6.2× usual |
excluded |
| MED BUY Yes @ 55¢ | $500.0k 2.7× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 46¢ | $16.2k | missed |
| MED BUY Yes @ 55¢ | $110.0k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 55¢ | $25.5k | called |
| MED BUY Yes @ 54¢ | $162.0k 4.8× usual |
called |
| HIGH BUY Yes @ 54¢ | $450.0k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 47¢ | $23.1k | missed |
| MED BUY Yes @ 53¢ | $190.1k 2.1× usual |
called |
| HIGH BUY Yes @ 53¢ | $1.15M | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 53¢ | $15.9k | called |
| MED BUY No @ 48¢ | $54.5k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 48¢ | $18.8k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 52¢ | $20.4k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 49¢ | $19.2k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 49¢ | $11.9k | missed |
| MED BUY No @ 48¢ | $56.6k 2.1× usual |
missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 53¢ | $30.0k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 48¢ | $13.1k | missed |
| HIGH BUY Yes @ 52¢ | $247.5k 4.2× usual |
called |
| LOW BUY No @ 49¢ | $20.0k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 49¢ | $29.1k 2.4× usual |
missed |
| MED BUY Yes @ 52¢ | $25.9k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 47¢ | $15.8k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 46¢ | $13.3k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 57¢ | $10.3k | called |
Summary
WhaleGrader has logged 56 whale trades on this market totalling $7.06M from 45 wallets. The largest was $1.15M (buy Yes at 53¢). Most whale money ($5.39M) went to Yes. 30 of 56 graded flags here called the outcome. The biggest whale here, coldsway ($1.19M), has called 1 of 5 graded flags overall (-26.3 pts vs price).
Market data from Polymarket (fifwc-hrv-gha-2026-06-27-hrv).