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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.5 wins, so it did -48.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-48.0 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.5
Flagged volume
$984.7k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±50.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$520.8k
Last 30 days −$4 · $21.98M volume · 12,993 trades · since Apr 07, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$4.31M
Open P&L · 276 positions
−$3.03M
Closed-position win rate
76%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
200d
895 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 0 | 0.5 | -48.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Open Porto Playoffs | LOW BUY Spirit @ 64¢ | $38.4k | excluded |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner | LOW BUY Team Falcons @ 39¢ | $31.1k | excluded |
 LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group | LOW BUY Hanwha Life Esports @ 28¢ | $14.0k | excluded |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner | LOW BUY Hanwha Life Esports @ 62¢ | $24.8k | excluded |
 Will England win on 2026-07-11? | LOW BUY No @ 47¢ | $74.8k 2.4× usual |
excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-07-09? | LOW BUY Yes @ 60¢ | $30.8k | excluded |
| United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance | LOW BUY United States @ 54¢ | $47.4k | excluded |
| Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance | LOW SELL England @ 70¢ | $17.2k | excluded |
| Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance | MED BUY England @ 52¢ | $104.0k 3.3× usual |
excluded |
| Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 | MED BUY Over @ 38¢ | $34.0k | excluded |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04? | MED BUY Yes @ 34¢ | $34.0k | excluded |
| Spread: France (-2.5) | LOW BUY France @ 30¢ | $12.0k | excluded |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? | LOW BUY No @ 46¢ | $18.4k | excluded |
| Spread: Argentina (-2.5) | LOW BUY Argentina @ 44¢ | $35.2k | excluded |
| Panama vs. England: O/U 3.5 | LOW BUY Over @ 47¢ | $28.2k | excluded |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? | LOW BUY No @ 46¢ | $46.0k | excluded |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? | LOW BUY No @ 48¢ | $13.1k | missed |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 3 Winner | MED BUY FURIA @ 30¢ | $51.6k | excluded |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 3 Winner | LOW BUY Team Falcons @ 48¢ | $54.0k | excluded |
| Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 3.5 | MED BUY Over @ 47¢ | $41.2k | excluded |
| Spread: Japan (-2.5) | LOW BUY Tunisia @ 47¢ | $15.3k | excluded |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | LOW BUY No @ 54¢ | $12.7k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | LOW BUY Yes @ 48¢ | $48.0k | excluded |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | LOW BUY Yes @ 51¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
| Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 | LOW BUY FUT Esports @ 57¢ | $31.3k | excluded |
 Rockets vs. Lakers | LOW BUY Rockets @ 55¢ | $42.8k | excluded |
| Warriors vs. Suns | LOW BUY Warriors @ 38¢ | $14.4k | excluded |
| Warriors vs. Suns | LOW BUY Warriors @ 44¢ | $29.0k | excluded |
 Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08? | LOW BUY Yes @ 53¢ | $30.9k | excluded |
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