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What this means. A wallet put $13.1k on No, at a price that gave it a 48% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$13.1k
BUY No @ 48¢ · 27,264 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet huli3882 took No (buy) for $13.1k at an average 48¢. At that price the market implied a 48% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $13.1k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 48¢ means
48%chance the market gave
+108American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 48¢
- Implied odds
- 48.0%
- As American odds
- +108 no vig
- Size
- $13.1k
- Placed
- Jun 27, 09:29 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 27, 17:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- huli3882
- Tx
- 0x0fae3c2c…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-48.0 pts
expected 0.5 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -48 ptsNo price · entry 48¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $82.5k 5.0× usual |
excluded |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $66.6k | excluded |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $25.9k | excluded |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? | LOW BUY Yes @ 98.1¢ | $11.8k | excluded |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? | LOW BUY Yes @ 96¢ | $19.8k | excluded |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? | LOW BUY Yes @ 91.9¢ | $20.9k | excluded |