← Wallets
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 2 of 3. The prices it paid implied about 1.6 wins, so it did +13.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+13.0 pts
Called / graded
2/3
Expected from price
1.6
Flagged volume
$1.05M
Sample size3 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±28.4 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$256.0k
Last 30 days +$0 · $3.21M volume · 297 trades · since Jun 20, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$601.4k
Open P&L · 2 positions
−$847.5k
Closed-position win rate
86%
7 closed
Wallet age · markets
126d
8 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 3 | 2 | 1.6 | +13.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Canada win on 2026-06-28? | HIGH BUY No @ 43¢ | $300.0k | missed |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? | HIGH BUY Yes @ 54¢ | $450.0k | called |
| Will France win on 2026-06-26? | MED BUY Yes @ 64¢ | $300.0k | called |
Share this record
<a href="https://whalegrader.com/wallet/0xb4bad13f1ff0f70cc4a68230d3bf6f81b8bbdaba"><img src="https://whalegrader.com/badge/wallet/0xb4bad13f1ff0f70cc4a68230d3bf6f81b8bbdaba.svg" alt="WhaleGrader record"></a>
JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xb4bad1…