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What this means. A wallet put $300.0k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 64% chance. It won. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$300.0k
BUY Yes @ 64¢ · 468,750 shares
Size ≥ $250kSports
What happened
Wallet 0xb4ba…daba took Yes (buy) for $300.0k at an average 64¢. At that price the market implied a 64% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $300.0k+3
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 64¢ means
64%chance the market gave
−178American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 64¢
- Implied odds
- 64.0%
- As American odds
- −178 no vig
- Size
- $300.0k
- Placed
- Jun 26, 12:15 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 26, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0xb4ba…daba
- Tx
- 0xe58a1b08…
This wallet's graded record
2/3+13.0 pts
expected 1.6 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +36 ptsYes price · entry 64¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will France win on 2026-06-26? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.1k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-06-26? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $13.4k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-06-26? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.7¢ | $31.4k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-06-26? | LOW BUY Yes @ 98.4¢ | $49.9k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-06-26? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.2¢ | $10.9k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-06-26? | LOW SELL Yes @ 98.7¢ | $11.0k | excluded |