← Wallets
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.4 wins, so it did -19.5 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-19.5 pts
Called / graded
1/2
Expected from price
1.4
Flagged volume
$3.63M
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±29.5 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$576.8k
Last 30 days −$27.5k · $462.43M volume · 518,617 trades · since Nov 30, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$14.97M
Open P&L · 0 positions
+$0
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
693d
22109 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 2 | 1 | 1.4 | -19.5 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 North Carolina Central vs. Delaware State | LOW BUY North Carolina Central @ 99.9¢ | $227.8k 7.6× usual |
excluded |
 Cavaliers vs. 76ers | LOW BUY 76ers @ 99.9¢ | $23.3k | excluded |
| Cavaliers vs. 76ers: 1H Moneyline | LOW BUY Cavaliers @ 99.9¢ | $27.3k | excluded |
| Warriors vs. Lakers | LOW BUY Lakers @ 99.7¢ | $19.9k | excluded |
 Lightning vs. Golden Knights | LOW BUY Lightning @ 99.9¢ | $12.0k | excluded |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | LOW BUY Thunder @ 98¢ | $19.6k | excluded |
 LoL: BNK FEARX vs Team WE - Game 4 Winner | LOW BUY BNK FEARX @ 99¢ | $19.8k | excluded |
 Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-15? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
 Falcons vs. Saints | LOW BUY Falcons @ 99.8¢ | $37.3k | excluded |
| LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner | LOW BUY Invictus Gaming @ 98¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
 Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-14? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99¢ | $19.8k | excluded |
| LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner | LOW BUY Ninjas in Pyjamas @ 99¢ | $49.5k | excluded |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Playoffs | LOW BUY Hanwha Life Esports @ 99¢ | $30.7k | excluded |
 Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants | LOW BUY San Francisco Giants @ 99.8¢ | $20.7k | excluded |
 Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B | LOW BUY Team Falcons @ 89¢ | $22.1k | called |
 Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffs | LOW BUY Team Yandex @ 99.9¢ | $20.5k | excluded |
| Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner | LOW BUY Team Liquid @ 99.9¢ | $103.2k 3.5× usual |
excluded |
| Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner | LOW BUY Team Falcons @ 99.9¢ | $59.3k | excluded |
| 49ers vs. Chargers | LOW BUY 49ers @ 99.9¢ | $99.0k 3.3× usual |
excluded |
| LoL: T1 vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winner | LOW BUY T1 @ 99.9¢ | $23.8k | excluded |
| LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group | LOW BUY BNK FEARX @ 99¢ | $36.9k | excluded |
| LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner | LOW BUY T1 @ 99.4¢ | $10.1k | excluded |
| LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | LOW BUY ThunderTalk Gaming @ 99.9¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| LoL: BNK FEARX vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner | LOW BUY HANJIN BRION @ 99.9¢ | $48.8k | excluded |
| LoL: LGD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner | LOW BUY Top Esports @ 99¢ | $16.4k | excluded |
| LoL: Anyone's Legend vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winner | LOW BUY Anyones Legend @ 99¢ | $16.5k | excluded |
| LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifier | LOW BUY DN SOOPers @ 98.6¢ | $29.0k | excluded |
| LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winner | LOW BUY ThunderTalk Gaming @ 99¢ | $84.9k 2.8× usual |
excluded |
| LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner | LOW BUY Dplus KIA @ 99.7¢ | $92.9k 3.1× usual |
excluded |
 Will France win on 2026-07-09? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99¢ | $28.8k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? | LOW BUY Yes @ 98¢ | $10.9k | excluded |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99¢ | $111.1k 3.7× usual |
excluded |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 4 Winner | LOW BUY T1 @ 99¢ | $36.8k | excluded |
| Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance | LOW BUY Argentina @ 96¢ | $28.8k | excluded |
| Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance | LOW BUY Argentina @ 93¢ | $46.6k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-06-26? | LOW BUY Yes @ 98.4¢ | $49.9k | excluded |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.5¢ | $34.3k | excluded |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-24? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $87.4k 2.9× usual |
excluded |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | LOW BUY Yes @ 85¢ | $15.8k | excluded |
| Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner | LOW BUY Aurora Gaming @ 99¢ | $99.0k 3.3× usual |
excluded |
| Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 | LOW BUY Monte @ 99¢ | $16.9k | excluded |
 Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | LOW BUY Los Angeles Angels @ 99.9¢ | $14.3k | excluded |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $313.2k 10.5× usual |
excluded |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | LOW BUY Spurs @ 99¢ | $85.7k 2.9× usual |
excluded |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | LOW SELL Spurs @ 99.9¢ | $89.1k 3.0× usual |
excluded |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | LOW BUY Spurs @ 99¢ | $38.8k | excluded |
| LoL: T1 vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | LOW BUY T1 @ 99.8¢ | $111.3k 3.7× usual |
excluded |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | LOW BUY Cavaliers @ 99¢ | $19.0k | excluded |
| LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner | LOW BUY Kiwoom DRX @ 99.3¢ | $61.0k 2.0× usual |
excluded |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves | LOW BUY Spurs @ 99.7¢ | $10.6k | excluded |
| LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | LOW SELL KT Rolster @ 99.9¢ | $18.3k | excluded |
| LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | LOW BUY KT Rolster @ 99¢ | $18.0k | excluded |
| Lakers vs. Thunder | LOW BUY Thunder @ 90¢ | $23.6k | excluded |
| 76ers vs. Celtics | LOW SELL 76ers @ 99.9¢ | $43.8k | excluded |
| 76ers vs. Celtics | LOW SELL Celtics @ 63¢ | $31.6k | excluded |
| Pistons vs. Magic | LOW SELL Pistons @ 60¢ | $14.0k | excluded |
| LoL: Gen.G vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | LOW SELL Gen.G @ 99.9¢ | $12.9k | excluded |
| San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Angels | LOW BUY San Diego Padres @ 99.9¢ | $167.8k 5.6× usual |
excluded |
| Warriors vs. Suns | LOW SELL Suns @ 99.9¢ | $99.9k 3.3× usual |
excluded |
| Warriors vs. Suns | LOW SELL Suns @ 99.9¢ | $50.0k | excluded |
| Warriors vs. Suns | LOW SELL Suns @ 99.9¢ | $81.1k 2.7× usual |
excluded |
| Suns vs. Grizzlies | LOW BUY Suns @ 99.9¢ | $41.3k | excluded |
| Trail Blazers vs. Pacers: O/U 231.5 | LOW BUY Over @ 99.9¢ | $10.8k | excluded |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.5k | excluded |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $103.1k 3.5× usual |
excluded |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $50.0k | excluded |
| Lakers vs. Warriors | LOW BUY Lakers @ 99.9¢ | $20.6k | excluded |
 LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Oh My God (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivals | LOW SELL Invictus Gaming @ 99.9¢ | $50.9k | excluded |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $97.5k 3.3× usual |
excluded |
| LoL: LGD Gaming vs Oh My God (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana | LOW BUY LGD Gaming @ 50¢ | $25.0k | missed |
 US government shutdown Saturday? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $96.7k 3.2× usual |
excluded |
| Rams vs. Seahawks | LOW SELL Seahawks @ 55¢ | $27.5k | excluded |
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