Will France win on 2026-06-26?
Who's on each side
Whale money on this market, split by track record. Proven wallets beat the price over 20+ graded bets; losing wallets clearly lost to it. Everyone else is unrated.
| Side | All whales | Proven | Losing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | $6.47M 56 flags |
$330.4k 4 wallets |
$683.5k 2 wallets |
| Not Yes | $386.2k 12 flags |
none | none |
| No | $244.8k 7 flags |
none | none |
| Not No | $40.0k 2 flags |
none | none |
A proven wallet on a side is a reason to look closer, not a verdict. Records come from past bets; see how to use this. Information, not advice.
Flags on this market
| Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.1k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $13.4k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 99.7¢ | $31.4k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 98.4¢ | $49.9k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 99.2¢ | $10.9k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 98.7¢ | $11.0k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 98.2¢ | $19.5k | excluded |
| MED BUY Yes @ 96.6¢ | $89.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 95.8¢ | $11.8k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 87¢ | $26.0k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 95.6¢ | $10.9k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 95.5¢ | $23.2k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 95.5¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 94.6¢ | $20.5k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 95.4¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 95.6¢ | $17.0k | excluded |
| MED BUY Yes @ 95.9¢ | $42.2k 2.2× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 95.8¢ | $38.3k | excluded |
| MED BUY Yes @ 95.5¢ | $42.2k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 95.5¢ | $47.7k 2.6× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 95¢ | $15.7k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 94.7¢ | $22.3k | excluded |
| HIGH BUY Yes @ 79¢ | $127.2k 4.8× usual |
excluded |
| MED SELL Yes @ 91¢ | $64.9k 2.6× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 89¢ | $17.8k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 89¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 77¢ | $50.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 27¢ | $14.6k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 73¢ | $31.9k 2.2× usual |
excluded |
| HIGH BUY Yes @ 73¢ | $439.2k 7.6× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 73¢ | $15.8k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 72¢ | $27.4k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 72¢ | $14.4k | excluded |
| MED BUY Yes @ 72¢ | $200.3k 2.2× usual |
excluded |
| MED BUY Yes @ 71¢ | $197.4k 4.2× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 28¢ | $19.6k | excluded |
| MED BUY Yes @ 72¢ | $144.0k 3.9× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 72¢ | $14.4k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 71¢ | $40.2k | excluded |
| MED BUY Yes @ 70¢ | $35.9k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 71¢ | $14.1k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 70¢ | $36.0k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 69¢ | $15.8k | missed |
| HIGH SELL Yes @ 69¢ | $110.1k 3.8× usual |
missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 70¢ | $18.9k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 70¢ | $50.7k 2.1× usual |
called |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 69¢ | $10.3k | missed |
| HIGH BUY Yes @ 69¢ | $530.0k 8.6× usual |
called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 70¢ | $16.7k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 70¢ | $11.4k | called |
| MED SELL Yes @ 69¢ | $74.3k 4.0× usual |
missed |
| LOW SELL No @ 34¢ | $20.4k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 65¢ | $16.2k | called |
| MED BUY Yes @ 65¢ | $70.0k 3.8× usual |
called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 65¢ | $13.0k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 36¢ | $17.3k | missed |
| HIGH BUY Yes @ 64¢ | $877.5k 18.6× usual |
called |
| MED BUY Yes @ 64¢ | $300.0k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 37¢ | $10.4k | missed |
| MED BUY Yes @ 64¢ | $25.0k | called |
| HIGH BUY Yes @ 62¢ | $2.07M | called |
| MED BUY Yes @ 61¢ | $61.0k 3.5× usual |
called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 61¢ | $14.0k | called |
| MED BUY Yes @ 60¢ | $111.4k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 60¢ | $95.6k 3.3× usual |
called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 60¢ | $15.0k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 40¢ | $12.7k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 61¢ | $22.0k | called |
| MED BUY No @ 39¢ | $63.9k 3.4× usual |
missed |
| MED BUY No @ 39¢ | $25.8k | missed |
| MED BUY Yes @ 62¢ | $98.6k 3.4× usual |
called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 62¢ | $13.9k | called |
| MED BUY No @ 40¢ | $100.0k 3.1× usual |
missed |
| MED BUY Yes @ 60¢ | $75.1k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 61¢ | $14.8k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 61¢ | $30.0k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 61¢ | $15.0k | called |
Summary
WhaleGrader has logged 77 whale trades on this market totalling $7.14M from 63 wallets. The largest was $2.07M (buy Yes at 62¢). Most whale money ($6.47M) went to Yes. 58 of 77 graded flags here called the outcome. The biggest whale here, BAREFLUX ($2.07M), has called 1 of 2 graded flags overall (-1.2 pts vs price).
Market data from Polymarket (fifwc-nor-fra-2026-06-26-fra).