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TexMexTRex

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 4 of 4. The prices it paid implied about 3.2 wins, so it did +19.2 pts better than the market expected. That's only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+19.2 pts
Called / graded
4/4
Expected from price
3.2
Flagged volume
$700.4k
Sample size4 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±19.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$174.1k
Last 30 days −$6,266 · $23.92M volume · 9,418 trades · since Jun 09, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$1.27M
Open P&L · 4 positions
−$512
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
1589d
2712 markets traded

By category

CategoryGradedCalledExpectedEdge
Other221.8+9.0 pts
Sports221.4+29.5 pts

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceLOW BUY Spain @ 90.5¢ $15.0k90% 102d agoexcluded
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvanceLOW BUY Argentina @ 97.7¢ $15.0k98% 104d agoexcluded
Will France win on 2026-06-26?LOW BUY Yes @ 95.6¢ $17.0k96% 120d agoexcluded
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles AngelsLOW BUY San Diego Padres @ 96.9¢ $12.2k97% 188d agoexcluded
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Leylah Fernandez vs Zeynep SonmezLOW BUY Zeynep Sonmez @ 97.7¢ $19.8k98% 191d agoexcluded
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona WildcatsLOW SELL Arizona Wildcats @ 99.9¢ $43.7k
2.0× usual
0% 209d agoexcluded
Seahawks vs. PatriotsLOW BUY Seahawks @ 91¢ $11.0k91% 257d agoexcluded
Maple Leafs vs. FlamesLOW BUY Maple Leafs @ 76¢ $15.0k76% 263d agoexcluded
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak DjokovicLOW BUY Alcaraz @ 74¢ $15.0k74% 265d agocalled
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander ZverevLOW BUY Alcaraz @ 97.8¢ $94.7k
4.4× usual
98% 267d agoexcluded
Australian Open Women's: Jessica Pegula vs Elena RybakinaLOW BUY Rybakina @ 97.4¢ $36.2k97% 268d agoexcluded
Australian Open Women's: Jessica Pegula vs Elena RybakinaLOW BUY Rybakina @ 86¢ $20.4k86% 268d agoexcluded
Australian Open Women's: Jessica Pegula vs Elena RybakinaLOW BUY Rybakina @ 67¢ $11.0k67% 268d agocalled
Rams vs. SeahawksLOW BUY Seahawks @ 94.3¢ $25.1k94% 271d agoexcluded
Patriots vs. BroncosLOW BUY Patriots @ 95¢ $49.1k
2.3× usual
95% 271d agoexcluded
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?LOW BUY No @ 91.5¢ $33.3k91% 280d agocalled
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 90.6¢ $45.0k
2.1× usual
91% 301d agocalled
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?LOW SELL No @ 97.3¢ $22.3k3% 308d agoexcluded
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?LOW BUY No @ 82¢ $25.0k82% 333d agoexcluded
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?MED BUY Yes @ 95.6¢ $43.8k
2.1× usual
96% 353d agoexcluded
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?LOW BUY Yes @ 91.6¢ $22.9k92% 355d agocalled
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?LOW BUY Yes @ 91.5¢ $17.4k92% 355d agocalled
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?LOW BUY Yes @ 93.7¢ $27.5k94% 355d agocalled
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?LOW BUY Yes @ 90.5¢ $18.0k91% 361d agocalled
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?LOW SELL Yes @ 90¢ $15.0k10% 372d agomissed
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?LOW BUY Yes @ 90¢ $30.0k90% 385d agocalled

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