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What this means. A wallet put $15.0k on Maple Leafs, at a price that gave it a 76% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Maple Leafs vs. Flamesexcluded
$15.0k
BUY Maple Leafs @ 76¢ · 19,838 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet TexMexTRex took Maple Leafs (buy) for $15.0k at an average 76¢. At that price the market implied a 76% chance for that side. The market resolved Maple Leafs. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $15.0k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 76¢ means
76%chance the market gave
−310American odds
$1.00paid per share if Maple Leafs wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
76¢
Implied odds
75.6%
As American odds
−310 no vig
Size
$15.0k
Placed
Feb 02, 23:54 EST
Market close
Feb 02, 22:00 EST
Result
Maple Leafs
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
TexMexTRex
Tx
0x76ff307f…
This wallet's graded record
4/4+19.2 pts
expected 3.2 from price

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Maple Leafs vs. FlamesLOW BUY Maple Leafs @ 74¢ $33.9k74% kch123263d agoexcluded
Maple Leafs vs. FlamesLOW BUY Flames @ 48¢ $19.2k48% 0xf1f4…544c264d agoexcluded
Maple Leafs vs. FlamesLOW BUY Flames @ 49¢ $56.8k
2.4× usual
49% 0x68dd…f0b2264d agoexcluded
Maple Leafs vs. FlamesLOW BUY Flames @ 48¢ $10.2k48% 0xe2e3…0f47264d agoexcluded
Maple Leafs vs. FlamesLOW BUY Maple Leafs @ 53¢ $11.5k53% GamblingOdyssey264d agocalled
Maple Leafs vs. FlamesMED BUY Maple Leafs @ 52¢ $86.7k
4.0× usual
52% c4c4 PROVEN264d agocalled