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Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?missed
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?missed
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 3 of 3. The prices it paid implied about 1.8 wins, so it did +40.6 pts better than the market expected. That's only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+40.6 pts
Called / graded
3/3
Expected from price
1.8
Flagged volume
$484.6k
Sample size3 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±27.3 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$740.4k
Last 30 days +$59.7k · $25.50M volume · 25,853 trades · since Oct 22, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$3.94M
Open P&L · 123 positions
−$163.0k
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
367d
2017 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 3 | 3 | 1.8 | +40.6 pts |
History
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?missedSELL No @ 81¢$20.2k
LOW GamblingOdyssey · 101d ago
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?missedSELL No @ 83¢$19.6k
LOW GamblingOdyssey · 102d ago
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