← Wallets
+$39Yes · avg 16¢ → 18¢ · $289
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 6 of 6. The prices it paid implied about 5.1 wins, so it did +15.5 pts better than the market expected. That's only 6 graded bets, too few to judge. Without its single best bet: +13.8 pts. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
+15.5 pts
Called / graded
6/6
Expected from price
5.1
Flagged volume
$826.6k
Sample size6 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±14.6 pts std. error.
Graded P&L at their stakes
+$23k6 graded bets in the order they resolved · 6 won. Each step is one bet: win pays (1−price)/price × stake, loss costs the stake.
Past graded bets, not a prediction. Information, not advice.
Without their best bet
Leave out the single bet that helped most (LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stage at 76¢) and the edge is +13.8 pts. If that falls apart, one bet made the record.
Calibration: won vs price paid
60–80¢
100% vs 77% · n=2
80–100¢
100% vs 88% · n=4
Bar = how often they won. White tick = what the price implied.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$483.3k
Last 30 days −$6,426 · $14.80M volume · 5,443 trades · since Nov 08, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$1.51M
Open P&L · 268 positions
−$1.36M
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
350d
1280 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 6 | 6 | 5.1 | +15.5 pts |
History
Share this record
<a href="https://whalegrader.com/wallet/0x85d53efdd055aa88fb00a914f5615bfd585545ee"><img src="https://whalegrader.com/badge/wallet/0x85d53efdd055aa88fb00a914f5615bfd585545ee.svg" alt="WhaleGrader record"></a>
JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x85d53e…