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What this means. A wallet put $18.2k on Bilibili Gaming, at a price that gave it a 69% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 6 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendexcluded
$18.2k
BUY Bilibili Gaming @ 69¢ · 26,385 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet retroactivesource took Bilibili Gaming (buy) for $18.2k at an average 69¢. At that price the market implied a 69% chance for that side. The market resolved Top Esports. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $18.2k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 69¢ means
69%chance the market gave
−223American odds
$1.00paid per share if Bilibili Gaming wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
69¢
Implied odds
69.0%
As American odds
−223 no vig
Size
$18.2k
Placed
Aug 07, 07:55 EDT
Market close
Aug 07, 08:30 EDT
Result
Top Esports
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
retroactivesource
Tx
0x161318ff…
This wallet's graded record
6/6+15.5 pts
expected 5.1 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -69 pts
Bilibili Gaming price · entry 69¢ · resolved Top Esports
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 69¢ · $18.2k WHALE $18.2K @ 69¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group AscendLOW SELL Top Esports @ 99.9¢ $17.3k0% hurrican78d agoexcluded
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group AscendMED SELL Top Esports @ 99.9¢ $832.8k
5.0× usual
0% Djdjdjekekek78d agoexcluded
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group AscendLOW BUY Top Esports @ 98¢ $17.0k98% hurrican78d agoexcluded
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group AscendLOW BUY Bilibili Gaming @ 41¢ $15.9k41% aaronaiii78d agoexcluded
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group AscendHIGH BUY Top Esports @ 63¢ $386.2k
2.3× usual
63% Djdjdjekekek78d agoexcluded
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group AscendLOW SELL Top Esports @ 61¢ $19.7k39% LinkE578d agoexcluded