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What this means. A wallet put $19.7k on not Top Esports, at a price that gave it a 39% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 10 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendexcluded
$19.7k
SELL Top Esports @ 61¢ · 32,300 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet LinkE5 took Top Esports (sell) for $19.7k at an average 61¢. At that price the market implied a 39% chance for that side. The market resolved Top Esports. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $19.7k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
61¢
Implied odds
39.0%
As American odds
+156 no vig
Size
$19.7k
Placed
Aug 07, 09:38 EDT
Market close
Aug 07, 08:30 EDT
Result
Top Esports
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
LinkE5
Tx
0xc92802a1…
This wallet's graded record
3/10-25.3 pts
expected 5.5 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -39 pts
Top Esports price · entry 61¢ · resolved Top Esports · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 61¢ · $19.7k WHALE $19.7K @ 61¢
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group AscendLOW SELL Top Esports @ 99.9¢ $17.3k0% hurrican78d agoexcluded
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group AscendMED SELL Top Esports @ 99.9¢ $832.8k
5.0× usual
0% Djdjdjekekek78d agoexcluded
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group AscendLOW BUY Top Esports @ 98¢ $17.0k98% hurrican78d agoexcluded
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group AscendLOW BUY Bilibili Gaming @ 41¢ $15.9k41% aaronaiii78d agoexcluded
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group AscendHIGH BUY Top Esports @ 63¢ $386.2k
2.3× usual
63% Djdjdjekekek78d agoexcluded
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group AscendLOW SELL Top Esports @ 62¢ $19.0k38% BrotherObama PROVEN78d agoexcluded