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What this means. A wallet put $19.0k on not Top Esports, at a price that gave it a 38% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has a proven record: +21.0 pts vs the price over 28 bets. A bet from a wallet like this is worth a look; one from a random whale usually isn't. Information, not advice. How to use this →
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendexcluded
$19.0k
SELL Top Esports @ 62¢ · 30,645 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Proven walletSports

What happened

Wallet BrotherObama took Top Esports (sell) for $19.0k at an average 62¢. At that price the market implied a 38% chance for that side. The market resolved Top Esports. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $19.0k+0
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
62¢
Implied odds
38.0%
As American odds
+163 no vig
Size
$19.0k
Placed
Aug 07, 09:35 EDT
Market close
Aug 07, 08:30 EDT
Result
Top Esports
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
BrotherObama
Tx
0xadd963df…
This wallet's graded record
20/28+21.0 pts
expected 14.1 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -38 pts
Top Esports price · entry 62¢ · resolved Top Esports · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 62¢ · $19.0k WHALE $19.0K @ 62¢
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group AscendLOW SELL Top Esports @ 99.9¢ $17.3k0% hurrican77d agoexcluded
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group AscendMED SELL Top Esports @ 99.9¢ $832.8k
5.0× usual
0% Djdjdjekekek77d agoexcluded
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group AscendLOW BUY Top Esports @ 98¢ $17.0k98% hurrican77d agoexcluded
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group AscendLOW BUY Bilibili Gaming @ 41¢ $15.9k41% aaronaiii77d agoexcluded
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group AscendHIGH BUY Top Esports @ 63¢ $386.2k
2.3× usual
63% Djdjdjekekek77d agoexcluded
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group AscendLOW SELL Top Esports @ 61¢ $19.7k39% LinkE577d agoexcluded