Djdjdjekekek

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 5 of 10. The prices it paid implied about 4.4 wins, so it did +5.6 pts better than the market expected. That's only 10 graded bets, too few to judge. Without its single best bet: -0.4 pts. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Price-adjusted edge

+5.6 pts

Called / graded

5/10

Expected from price

4.4

Flagged volume

$37.89M

Sample size10 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±15.0 pts std. error.

Graded P&L at their stakes

+$1.5M

10 graded bets in the order they resolved · 5 won. Each step is one bet: win pays (1−price)/price × stake, loss costs the stake.

Past graded bets, not a prediction. Information, not advice.

Without their best bet

Leave out the single bet that helped most (France vs. Spain: Team to Advance at 40¢) and the edge is -0.4 pts. If that falls apart, one bet made the record.

Calibration: won vs price paid

20–40¢

0% vs 31% · n=4

40–60¢

100% vs 43% · n=3

60–80¢

67% vs 64% · n=3

Bar = how often they won. White tick = what the price implied.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

−$2.91M

Last 30 days +$514.3k · $164.77M volume · 30,460 trades · since Jun 19, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants	HIGH BUY Arizona Diamondbacks @ 51¢	$535.9k 3.2× usual	51%	57d ago	excluded
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves	MED SELL Los Angeles Dodgers @ 13¢	$84.6k	87%	57d ago	excluded
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves	HIGH BUY Los Angeles Dodgers @ 49¢	$1.01M 6.1× usual	49%	57d ago	excluded
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves	HIGH BUY Los Angeles Dodgers @ 49¢	$461.9k 2.8× usual	49%	57d ago	missed
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves	HIGH BUY Los Angeles Dodgers @ 48¢	$1.11M 6.7× usual	48%	57d ago	missed
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B	HIGH BUY Lynn Vision @ 27¢	$304.9k	27%	57d ago	excluded
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B	MED SELL Lynn Vision @ 26¢	$119.3k	74%	57d ago	excluded
Colorado Rockies vs. Washington Nationals	HIGH BUY Colorado Rockies @ 31¢	$186.5k	31%	57d ago	excluded
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Lynn Vision - Map 1 Winner	HIGH BUY Lynn Vision @ 25¢	$166.8k	25%	57d ago	excluded
Colorado Rockies vs. Washington Nationals	LOW SELL Colorado Rockies @ 40¢	$22.0k	60%	57d ago	excluded
Colorado Rockies vs. Washington Nationals	MED BUY Colorado Rockies @ 44¢	$173.4k	44%	57d ago	excluded
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B	HIGH BUY FUT Esports @ 58¢	$995.6k 6.0× usual	58%	57d ago	excluded
Minnesota Twins vs. Athletics	LOW SELL Athletics @ 99.9¢	$97.3k	0%	58d ago	excluded
Minnesota Twins vs. Athletics	LOW SELL Minnesota Twins @ 49¢	$23.3k	51%	58d ago	excluded
Minnesota Twins vs. Athletics	MED BUY Athletics @ 38¢	$75.2k	38%	58d ago	excluded
Minnesota Twins vs. Athletics	LOW BUY Minnesota Twins @ 50¢	$23.8k	50%	58d ago	excluded
Chicago Cubs vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	LOW BUY Chicago Cubs @ 29¢	$10.5k	29%	58d ago	excluded
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffs	HIGH BUY Spirit @ 72¢	$674.7k 4.1× usual	72%	61d ago	excluded
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs	LOW SELL Team Spirit @ 99.9¢	$223.7k	0%	61d ago	excluded
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs	HIGH BUY Team Spirit @ 44¢	$1.95M 11.8× usual	44%	62d ago	excluded
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner	HIGH BUY Team Yandex @ 43¢	$856.4k 5.2× usual	43%	62d ago	excluded
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner	HIGH BUY Team Yandex @ 44¢	$343.4k 2.1× usual	44%	62d ago	excluded
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffs	MED SELL Team Yandex @ 34¢	$222.1k	66%	62d ago	excluded
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffs	MED BUY Team Yandex @ 37¢	$74.4k	37%	62d ago	excluded
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffs	LOW SELL Team Spirit @ 65¢	$17.1k	35%	62d ago	excluded
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffs	LOW BUY Team Spirit @ 69¢	$34.2k	69%	62d ago	called
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs	HIGH BUY Spirit @ 77¢	$955.7k 5.8× usual	77%	62d ago	excluded
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs	MED SELL FUT Esports @ 99.9¢	$835.7k 5.1× usual	0%	62d ago	excluded
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs	HIGH BUY FUT Esports @ 45¢	$1.22M 7.4× usual	45%	62d ago	excluded
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffs	HIGH BUY TEAM VISION @ 68¢	$1.08M 6.5× usual	68%	63d ago	excluded
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner	HIGH BUY TEAM VISION @ 60¢	$352.0k 2.1× usual	60%	63d ago	excluded
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffs	MED BUY TEAM VISION @ 89¢	$141.8k	89%	63d ago	excluded
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Playoffs	HIGH BUY Team Spirit @ 63¢	$1.35M 8.2× usual	63%	63d ago	called
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Playoffs	HIGH BUY Team Spirit @ 62¢	$883.3k 5.3× usual	62%	63d ago	called
Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashima	MED BUY Brandon Nakashima @ 39¢	$426.0k 2.6× usual	39%	63d ago	excluded
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffs	LOW BUY Nigma Galaxy @ 66¢	$24.1k	66%	63d ago	excluded
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffs	HIGH BUY Nigma Galaxy @ 41¢	$845.0k 5.1× usual	41%	63d ago	excluded
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION - Game 1 Winner	HIGH BUY Team Spirit @ 49¢	$634.9k 3.8× usual	49%	64d ago	excluded
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffs	MED BUY Team Liquid @ 60¢	$119.7k	60%	64d ago	excluded
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner	LOW BUY Team Liquid @ 66¢	$10.3k	66%	64d ago	excluded
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffs	LOW SELL Team Spirit @ 36¢	$94.6k	64%	64d ago	called
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffs	HIGH BUY Team Spirit @ 38¢	$307.8k	38%	64d ago	missed
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffs	MED BUY Team Spirit @ 37¢	$236.6k	37%	64d ago	missed
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner	HIGH BUY Team Liquid @ 54¢	$406.7k 2.5× usual	54%	64d ago	excluded
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffs	MED BUY Team Liquid @ 54¢	$218.6k	54%	64d ago	excluded
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs	LOW SELL BoomBoys @ 99.9¢	$139.1k	0%	64d ago	excluded
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs	HIGH BUY BoomBoys @ 60¢	$444.8k 2.7× usual	60%	64d ago	excluded
Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakina	MED SELL Iga Swiatek @ 99.9¢	$2.13M 12.9× usual	0%	64d ago	excluded
Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakina	HIGH BUY Iga Swiatek @ 78¢	$266.4k	78%	64d ago	excluded
Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli	MED BUY Flavio Cobolli @ 48¢	$74.5k	48%	64d ago	excluded
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs	HIGH BUY BoomBoys @ 59¢	$413.3k 2.5× usual	59%	64d ago	called
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs	HIGH BUY BoomBoys @ 59¢	$1.03M 6.2× usual	59%	64d ago	called
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs	MED SELL FURIA @ 99.9¢	$799.2k 4.8× usual	0%	64d ago	excluded
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs	HIGH BUY FURIA @ 67¢	$401.1k 2.4× usual	67%	64d ago	excluded
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffs	MED SELL Nigma Galaxy @ 99.9¢	$1.46M 8.8× usual	0%	64d ago	excluded
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffs	HIGH BUY Nigma Galaxy @ 36¢	$603.4k 3.7× usual	36%	64d ago	excluded
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner	MED SELL Team Yandex @ 99.9¢	$613.7k 3.7× usual	0%	64d ago	excluded
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner	MED BUY Team Yandex @ 47¢	$210.9k	47%	64d ago	excluded
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner	MED SELL Team Yandex @ 99.9¢	$300.5k	0%	64d ago	excluded
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner	MED BUY Team Yandex @ 55¢	$139.7k	55%	65d ago	excluded
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 100 Thieves (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group C	HIGH BUY 100 Thieves @ 29¢	$552.6k 3.3× usual	29%	72d ago	excluded
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Astralis (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group B	MED SELL Astralis @ 99.9¢	$759.0k 4.6× usual	0%	72d ago	excluded
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 100 Thieves (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group C	HIGH BUY 100 Thieves @ 27¢	$180.5k	27%	72d ago	missed
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Astralis (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group B	HIGH BUY Astralis @ 56¢	$396.1k 2.4× usual	56%	72d ago	excluded
Counter-Strike: magic vs TheMongolz (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D	MED BUY magic @ 67¢	$75.1k	67%	72d ago	excluded
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifier	MED SELL DN SOOPers @ 99.9¢	$861.4k 5.2× usual	0%	74d ago	excluded
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifier	HIGH BUY DN SOOPers @ 64¢	$445.3k 2.7× usual	64%	75d ago	excluded
LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group	MED BUY T1 @ 59¢	$36.9k	59%	77d ago	excluded
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	MED SELL Top Esports @ 99.9¢	$832.8k 5.0× usual	0%	77d ago	excluded
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	HIGH BUY Top Esports @ 63¢	$386.2k 2.3× usual	63%	77d ago	excluded
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO5) - 1win Essence Playoffs	MED BUY Team Liquid @ 46¢	$77.1k	46%	79d ago	excluded
National Bank Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Mariano Navone	MED BUY Valentin Vacherot @ 64¢	$108.2k	64%	79d ago	excluded
Dota 2: 1win vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs	LOW SELL 1win @ 99.9¢	$149.8k	0%	79d ago	excluded
Dota 2: 1win vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs	LOW SELL 1win @ 99.9¢	$99.8k	0%	79d ago	excluded
Dota 2: 1win vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs	MED BUY 1win @ 49¢	$74.4k	49%	80d ago	called
Dota 2: 1win vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs	MED BUY 1win @ 50¢	$205.4k	50%	80d ago	called
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs	MED BUY Los Angeles Dodgers @ 65¢	$117.0k	65%	80d ago	excluded
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs	MED BUY paiN @ 27¢	$35.5k	27%	84d ago	excluded
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs	MED BUY paiN @ 44¢	$118.6k	44%	84d ago	excluded
New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox	LOW BUY Chicago White Sox @ 84¢	$18.8k	84%	85d ago	excluded
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢	$100.3k	0%	96d ago	excluded
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢	$30.0k	0%	96d ago	excluded
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢	$124.9k	0%	96d ago	excluded
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	MED BUY No @ 59¢	$165.3k	59%	96d ago	called
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	MED BUY Yes @ 59¢	$243.0k	59%	96d ago	called
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	LOW SELL Yes @ 59¢	$59.6k	41%	96d ago	missed
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	LOW SELL Yes @ 59¢	$73.9k	41%	96d ago	missed
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance	LOW SELL Spain @ 59¢	$80.2k	41%	96d ago	missed
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	MED BUY Yes @ 59¢	$247.4k	59%	97d ago	called
France vs. England: Team to Win	LOW BUY France @ 47¢	$59.4k	47%	97d ago	excluded
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	LOW SELL Yes @ 59¢	$62.5k	41%	97d ago	missed
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance	LOW BUY Spain @ 60¢	$81.2k	60%	97d ago	called
France vs. England: Team to Win	LOW BUY France @ 68¢	$82.6k	68%	97d ago	missed
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance	MED BUY England @ 54¢	$195.4k	54%	100d ago	excluded
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance	LOW SELL England @ 54¢	$69.9k	46%	100d ago	called
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance	MED SELL England @ 54¢	$115.0k	46%	101d ago	called
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance	MED BUY England @ 54¢	$37.8k	54%	101d ago	missed
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance	MED BUY England @ 54¢	$146.4k	54%	101d ago	missed
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance	MED BUY Spain @ 40¢	$81.0k	40%	102d ago	called
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance	MED BUY Spain @ 41¢	$202.6k	41%	103d ago	called
Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Aces	MED SELL Indiana Fever @ 99.9¢	$681.1k 4.1× usual	0%	103d ago	excluded
Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Aces	MED BUY Indiana Fever @ 37¢	$136.1k	37%	103d ago	excluded
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance	MED BUY Switzerland @ 25¢	$22.6k	25%	104d ago	missed
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance	LOW BUY Norway @ 36¢	$10.4k	36%	104d ago	missed
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance	LOW BUY Norway @ 36¢	$10.4k	36%	105d ago	missed
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	LOW BUY Yes @ 47¢	$10.2k	47%	108d ago	excluded
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance	LOW BUY Belgium @ 48¢	$20.0k	48%	109d ago	called
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance	LOW SELL England @ 99.9¢	$22.2k	0%	110d ago	excluded
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance	LOW BUY England @ 52¢	$11.5k	52%	110d ago	excluded
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?	LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢	$145.3k	0%	121d ago	excluded
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?	LOW BUY Yes @ 53¢	$88.4k	53%	121d ago	excluded

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