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What this means. A wallet put $552.6k on 100 Thieves, at a price that gave it a 29% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 10 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$552.6k
BUY 100 Thieves @ 29¢ · 1,918,900 shares in 7 fills
Size ≥ $250kUnderdog side7 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)3.3× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet Djdjdjekekek took 100 Thieves (buy) for $552.6k at an average 29¢. At that price the market implied a 29% chance for that side. The market resolved Vitality. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $552.6k+3
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
7 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 29¢ means
29%chance the market gave
+247American odds
$1.00paid per share if 100 Thieves wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 29¢
- Implied odds
- 28.8%
- As American odds
- +247 no vig
- Size
- $552.6k
- Placed
- Aug 12, 13:38 EDT
- Market close
- Aug 12, 14:20 EDT
- Result
- Vitality
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- Djdjdjekekek
- Tx
- 0x9a292ae4…
This wallet's graded record
5/10+5.6 pts
expected 4.4 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -29 pts100 Thieves price · entry 29¢ · resolved Vitality
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW BUY Vitality @ 99.9¢ | $10.1k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY 100 Thieves @ 12¢ | $13.3k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Vitality @ 82¢ | $11.2k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Vitality @ 72¢ | $13.2k | called | |
| LOW BUY 100 Thieves @ 26¢ | $12.9k | missed | |
| HIGH BUY 100 Thieves @ 27¢ | $180.5k | missed |