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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.0 wins, so it did -52.5 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-52.5 pts
Called / graded
0/2
Expected from price
1.0
Flagged volume
$182.0k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±29.9 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$1.30M
Last 30 days +$0 · $4.48M volume · 382 trades · since Aug 01, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$372.0k
Open P&L · 11 positions
−$1.63M
Closed-position win rate
100%
4 closed
Wallet age · markets
84d
15 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 2 | 0 | 1.0 | -52.5 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 100 Thieves (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group C | LOW BUY 100 Thieves @ 26¢ | $12.9k | missed |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs | MED BUY Spirit @ 79¢ | $169.2k | missed |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x095418…