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What this means. A wallet put $169.2k on Spirit, at a price that gave it a 79% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$169.2k
BUY Spirit @ 79¢ · 214,119 shares
Size ≥ $100kSports
What happened
Wallet 0x0954…1e1b took Spirit (buy) for $169.2k at an average 79¢. At that price the market implied a 79% chance for that side. The market resolved MOUZ, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $169.2k+2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 79¢ means
79%chance the market gave
−376American odds
$1.00paid per share if Spirit wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 79¢
- Implied odds
- 79.0%
- As American odds
- −376 no vig
- Size
- $169.2k
- Placed
- Aug 02, 04:40 EDT
- Market close
- Aug 02, 06:30 EDT
- Result
- MOUZ
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x0954…1e1b
- Tx
- 0xb61a1df2…
This wallet's graded record
0/2-52.5 pts
expected 1.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -79 ptsSpirit price · entry 79¢ · resolved MOUZ
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs | LOW SELL MOUZ @ 99.9¢ | $17.2k | excluded |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs | LOW SELL MOUZ @ 99.9¢ | $20.5k | excluded |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs | LOW SELL MOUZ @ 99.9¢ | $152.5k 4.5× usual |
excluded |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs | LOW SELL MOUZ @ 99.9¢ | $10.9k | excluded |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs | LOW SELL MOUZ @ 69¢ | $12.3k | excluded |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs | LOW SELL Spirit @ 44¢ | $24.2k | excluded |