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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.4 wins, so it did -44.5 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-44.5 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.4
Flagged volume
$175.7k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±49.7 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$11.1k
Last 30 days +$0 · $1.61M volume · 163 trades · since Jun 18, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$195.1k
Open P&L · 10 positions
−$203.2k
Closed-position win rate
100%
22 closed
Wallet age · markets
128d
32 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 0 | 0.4 | -44.5 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs | LOW BUY FURIA @ 61¢ | $17.7k | excluded |
| Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs | LOW BUY G2 @ 45¢ | $71.8k 4.0× usual |
missed |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs | LOW SELL Spirit @ 44¢ | $24.2k | excluded |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs | LOW BUY Spirit @ 29¢ | $15.7k | excluded |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs | LOW SELL MOUZ @ 41¢ | $16.9k | excluded |
| Counter-Strike: paiN vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs | LOW SELL Astralis @ 99.9¢ | $18.8k | excluded |
 England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | LOW BUY Argentina @ 46¢ | $10.5k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xf17713…