← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $13.3k on 100 Thieves, at a price that gave it a 12% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 18 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$13.3k
BUY 100 Thieves @ 12¢ · 110,714 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet NS13 took 100 Thieves (buy) for $13.3k at an average 12¢. At that price the market implied a 12% chance for that side. The market resolved Vitality. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $13.3k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 12¢ means
12%chance the market gave
+733American odds
$1.00paid per share if 100 Thieves wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 12¢
- Implied odds
- 12.0%
- As American odds
- +733 no vig
- Size
- $13.3k
- Placed
- Aug 12, 14:51 EDT
- Market close
- Aug 12, 14:20 EDT
- Result
- Vitality
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- NS13
- Tx
- 0x2d60a7e6…
This wallet's graded record
9/18-0.2 pts
expected 9.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -12 pts100 Thieves price · entry 12¢ · resolved Vitality
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW BUY Vitality @ 99.9¢ | $10.1k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Vitality @ 82¢ | $11.2k | excluded | |
| HIGH BUY 100 Thieves @ 29¢ | $552.6k 3.3× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY Vitality @ 72¢ | $13.2k | called | |
| LOW BUY 100 Thieves @ 26¢ | $12.9k | missed | |
| HIGH BUY 100 Thieves @ 27¢ | $180.5k | missed |