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+$1No · avg 53¢ → 56¢ · $25
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.7 wins, so it did +28.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
+28.0 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.7
Flagged volume
$13.2k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±44.9 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$37.2k
Last 30 days +$3 · $238.5k volume · 120 trades · since Jul 17, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$45.4k
Open P&L · 2 positions
−$8,023
Closed-position win rate
47%
19 closed
Wallet age · markets
99d
21 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 1 | 0.7 | +28.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 100 Thieves (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group C | LOW BUY Vitality @ 72¢ | $13.2k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xe075f6…