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What this means. A wallet put $100.3k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 10 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded
$100.3k
SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ · 100,431 shares
Size ≥ $100kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet Djdjdjekekek took Yes (sell) for $100.3k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $100.3k+2
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
99.9¢
Implied odds
0.1%
Size
$100.3k
Placed
Jul 19, 20:56 EDT
Market close
Jul 19, 20:00 EDT
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
Djdjdjekekek
Tx
0x0f8bd76f…
This wallet's graded record
5/10+5.6 pts
expected 4.4 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -0 pts
Yes price · entry 99.9¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 99.9¢ · $100.3k WHALE $100.3K @ 99.9¢
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $35.7k0% Deido96d agoexcluded
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $43.0k0% neymar196d agoexcluded
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $26.7k0% 0x929a…a3d896d agoexcluded
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $64.7k0% 0x37ee…f86f96d agoexcluded
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $20.5k0% Nihaww96d agoexcluded
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?HIGH SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $3.30M
2.9× usual
0% yamal19 NEW96d agoexcluded