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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 0.4 wins, so it did -21.8 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-21.8 pts
Called / graded
0/2
Expected from price
0.4
Flagged volume
$99.8k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±29.1 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$15.4k
Last 30 days +$0 · $1.14M volume · 86 trades · since May 26, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$37.9k
Open P&L · 22 positions
−$56.0k
Closed-position win rate
76%
29 closed
Wallet age · markets
151d
51 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 2 | 0 | 0.4 | -21.8 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $35.7k | excluded |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY Yes @ 25¢ | $25.0k | missed |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY Yes @ 19¢ | $13.6k | missed |
 Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $25.5k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x19da38…