LinkE5

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 3 of 10. The prices it paid implied about 5.5 wins, so it did -25.3 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 10 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?−$143Yes · avg 34¢ → 34¢ · $10.5k Dota 2: 1win vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A+$207GamerLegion · avg 41¢ → 70¢ · $500

Open bets: who else is there

Other rated wallets holding the same side, or the other side, of this wallet's open bets.

None of its 1 open bets has a proven or losing wallet on either side yet.

Price-adjusted edge

-25.3 pts

Called / graded

3/10

Expected from price

5.5

Flagged volume

$1.24M

Sample size10 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±15.2 pts std. error.

Graded P&L at their stakes

−$49k

10 graded bets in the order they resolved · 3 won. Each step is one bet: win pays (1−price)/price × stake, loss costs the stake.

Past graded bets, not a prediction. Information, not advice.

Without their best bet

Leave out the single bet that helped most (Spurs vs. Thunder at 43¢) and the edge is -34.4 pts. If that falls apart, one bet made the record.

Calibration: won vs price paid

20–40¢

0% vs 36% · n=1

40–60¢

40% vs 48% · n=5

60–80¢

25% vs 70% · n=4

Bar = how often they won. White tick = what the price implied.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

−$721.6k

Last 30 days −$52.1k · $42.66M volume · 22,254 trades · since Apr 20, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?	LOW BUY Yes @ 34¢	$10.2k	34%	17h ago	pending
Game Handicap: C9 (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5)	LOW BUY FURIA Esports @ 62¢	$10.3k	62%	7d ago	excluded
LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner	LOW BUY Hanwha Life Esports @ 55¢	$10.1k	55%	77d ago	excluded
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	LOW SELL Top Esports @ 61¢	$19.7k	39%	77d ago	excluded
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	LOW BUY Team WE @ 71¢	$10.0k	71%	78d ago	excluded
LoL: LGD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winner	LOW SELL ThunderTalk Gaming @ 99.9¢	$38.3k 2.7× usual	0%	79d ago	excluded
LoL: LGD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winner	LOW BUY ThunderTalk Gaming @ 50¢	$10.5k	50%	79d ago	excluded
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO5) - 1win Essence Playoffs	LOW BUY Team Falcons @ 76¢	$31.0k 2.2× usual	76%	79d ago	excluded
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifier	LOW SELL Nongshim Red Force @ 99.9¢	$24.3k	0%	81d ago	excluded
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner	LOW BUY Bilibili Gaming @ 69¢	$25.0k	69%	83d ago	excluded
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner	LOW BUY Top Esports @ 65¢	$11.1k	65%	84d ago	excluded
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winner	LOW BUY Anyones Legend @ 76¢	$24.7k	76%	84d ago	excluded
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs	LOW BUY Astralis @ 57¢	$18.7k	57%	84d ago	excluded
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Astralis - Map 1 Winner	LOW BUY Astralis @ 51¢	$12.5k	51%	84d ago	excluded
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group	LOW BUY Dplus KIA @ 43¢	$28.7k 2.0× usual	43%	85d ago	excluded
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner	LOW BUY Nongshim Red Force @ 60¢	$12.3k	60%	87d ago	excluded
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	LOW BUY Anyones Legend @ 48¢	$18.2k	48%	89d ago	excluded
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winner	LOW SELL ThunderTalk Gaming @ 99.9¢	$30.9k 2.2× usual	0%	89d ago	excluded
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winner	LOW BUY ThunderTalk Gaming @ 51¢	$15.8k	51%	90d ago	excluded
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner	LOW SELL G2 Esports @ 99.9¢	$14.0k	0%	91d ago	excluded
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	LOW BUY No @ 57¢	$10.0k	57%	96d ago	excluded
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner	LOW SELL Dplus KIA @ 99.9¢	$40.9k 2.9× usual	0%	96d ago	excluded
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner	LOW BUY Dplus KIA @ 58¢	$20.2k	58%	96d ago	excluded
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D	LOW BUY Hanwha Life Esports @ 72¢	$10.7k	72%	100d ago	excluded
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 Winner	LOW SELL Hanwha Life Esports @ 99.9¢	$13.5k	0%	103d ago	excluded
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winner	LOW BUY Hanwha Life Esports @ 45¢	$14.3k	45%	104d ago	excluded
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner	LOW BUY Hanwha Life Esports @ 46¢	$14.9k	46%	104d ago	excluded
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner	LOW SELL Hanwha Life Esports @ 99.9¢	$40.7k 2.9× usual	0%	104d ago	excluded
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance	LOW BUY Norway @ 55¢	$10.0k	55%	104d ago	excluded
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 3 Winner	LOW SELL LYON @ 99.9¢	$22.7k	0%	104d ago	excluded
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 4 Winner	LOW SELL Hanwha Life Esports @ 99.9¢	$20.6k	0%	104d ago	excluded
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	LOW SELL Yes @ 48¢	$16.1k	52%	105d ago	excluded
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	LOW BUY Yes @ 60¢	$19.8k	60%	105d ago	excluded
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 3 Winner	LOW BUY G2 Esports @ 63¢	$12.9k	63%	106d ago	excluded
Will France win on 2026-07-09?	LOW BUY Yes @ 61¢	$13.6k	61%	106d ago	excluded
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5	LOW BUY Over @ 70¢	$10.1k	70%	108d ago	missed
Mexico vs. England: O/U 1.5	LOW SELL Over @ 99.9¢	$14.4k	0%	110d ago	excluded
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢	$18.9k	0%	111d ago	excluded
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5	LOW BUY Over @ 70¢	$10.0k	70%	111d ago	excluded
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	LOW BUY Yes @ 53¢	$10.0k	53%	111d ago	excluded
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 4 Winner	LOW SELL T1 @ 99.9¢	$24.9k	0%	111d ago	excluded
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 4 Winner	LOW BUY T1 @ 53¢	$13.2k	53%	112d ago	excluded
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5	LOW BUY Over @ 63¢	$10.0k	63%	112d ago	excluded
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?	LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢	$17.8k	0%	114d ago	excluded
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 4.5	LOW SELL Over @ 61¢	$10.1k	39%	122d ago	excluded
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 4.5	LOW BUY Under @ 38¢	$10.9k	38%	122d ago	excluded
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 4.5	LOW BUY Over @ 61¢	$10.2k	61%	122d ago	excluded
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 1.5	LOW BUY Over @ 76¢	$10.0k	76%	123d ago	called
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 2.5	LOW BUY Over @ 46¢	$15.3k	46%	130d ago	missed
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?	LOW BUY Yes @ 66¢	$10.0k	66%	130d ago	excluded
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)	LOW BUY Spurs @ 50¢	$14.2k	50%	140d ago	missed
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	LOW SELL Yes @ 52¢	$42.8k 3.1× usual	48%	140d ago	missed
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	LOW SELL TYLOO @ 99.9¢	$27.1k	0%	141d ago	excluded
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	LOW BUY TYLOO @ 61¢	$13.6k	61%	142d ago	called
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	LOW BUY Yes @ 36¢	$13.6k	36%	145d ago	called
Spurs vs. Thunder	LOW BUY Spurs @ 43¢	$11.7k	43%	146d ago	called
Thunder vs. Spurs	LOW BUY Thunder @ 47¢	$15.7k	47%	154d ago	called
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	LOW SELL Tundra Esports @ 99.9¢	$28.0k	0%	154d ago	excluded
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	LOW BUY Tundra Esports @ 55¢	$12.8k	55%	154d ago	excluded
Cavaliers vs. Knicks	LOW BUY Cavaliers @ 36¢	$10.0k	36%	155d ago	missed
Spurs vs. Thunder	LOW BUY Thunder @ 68¢	$10.6k	68%	158d ago	missed
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner	LOW SELL Kiwoom DRX @ 99.9¢	$11.1k	0%	159d ago	excluded
Spurs vs. Timberwolves	LOW BUY Spurs @ 65¢	$14.3k	65%	166d ago	missed
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	LOW SELL 9z @ 99.9¢	$27.7k	0%	166d ago	excluded
Pistons vs. Magic	LOW SELL Pistons @ 99.9¢	$15.5k	0%	175d ago	excluded
Lakers vs. Rockets	LOW BUY Rockets @ 61¢	$13.6k	61%	175d ago	excluded
Spread: Pistons (-10.5)	LOW SELL Magic @ 99.9¢	$12.3k	0%	177d ago	excluded
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A	LOW SELL G2 @ 99.9¢	$18.8k	0%	177d ago	excluded
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner	LOW SELL BetBoom Team @ 99.9¢	$14.4k	0%	180d ago	excluded
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	LOW BUY Nuggets @ 52¢	$11.2k	52%	181d ago	missed
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs	LOW SELL Aurora @ 99.9¢	$23.7k	0%	182d ago	excluded
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage	LOW SELL Team Spirit @ 99.9¢	$12.0k	0%	184d ago	excluded
Dota 2: South America Rejects vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage	LOW SELL South America Rejects @ 99.9¢	$12.4k	0%	184d ago	excluded

LinkE5

Current positions

Open bets: who else is there

Graded P&L at their stakes

Polymarket profile

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History

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