← Wallets
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 2 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.6 wins, so it did +21.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+21.0 pts
Called / graded
2/2
Expected from price
1.6
Flagged volume
$1.65M
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±27.9 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$83.0k
Last 30 days +$10.8k · $24.13M volume · 39,086 trades · since Jan 22, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$609.4k
Open P&L · 0 positions
+$0
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
275d
2513 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 2 | 2 | 1.6 | +21.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Timberwolves vs. Magic | LOW BUY Timberwolves @ 99¢ | $30.5k | excluded |
| Hawks vs. Hornets | LOW BUY Hawks @ 95¢ | $23.8k | excluded |
| Kings vs. Clippers | LOW BUY Clippers @ 98¢ | $20.5k | excluded |
| Warriors vs. Lakers | LOW BUY Lakers @ 99¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Hornets vs. Nets | LOW BUY Hornets @ 99¢ | $19.8k | excluded |
| Mavericks vs. Rockets | LOW BUY Rockets @ 98¢ | $19.6k | excluded |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | LOW BUY Thunder @ 99.8¢ | $34.5k | excluded |
| Celtics vs. Pistons | LOW BUY Pistons @ 97¢ | $18.5k | excluded |
 Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | MED BUY Spain @ 92.1¢ | $44.9k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-07-14? | LOW SELL No @ 99.5¢ | $28.7k | excluded |
| Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance | LOW BUY Argentina @ 97.5¢ | $26.8k | excluded |
| Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance | LOW BUY Argentina @ 98¢ | $12.1k | excluded |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04? | LOW BUY Yes @ 98.9¢ | $26.2k | excluded |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01? | LOW SELL No @ 88¢ | $17.7k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-06-30? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $40.3k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-06-26? | LOW BUY Yes @ 95.8¢ | $38.3k | excluded |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25? | LOW BUY Yes @ 98.8¢ | $29.2k | excluded |
| Spread: Portugal (-1.5) | LOW BUY Portugal @ 98.8¢ | $14.3k | excluded |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | LOW BUY Yes @ 69¢ | $20.4k | called |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $30.2k | excluded |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | LOW BUY Yes @ 94¢ | $28.4k | excluded |
| 76ers vs. Celtics | LOW SELL 76ers @ 99.9¢ | $10.4k | excluded |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | HIGH SELL Nuggets @ 72¢ | $108.8k 3.8× usual |
excluded |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | MED BUY Nuggets @ 74¢ | $110.7k 3.9× usual |
excluded |
| Rockets vs. Lakers | LOW BUY Lakers @ 99.3¢ | $131.3k 4.6× usual |
excluded |
| Hornets vs. Magic | LOW BUY Magic @ 99¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Warriors vs. Clippers | LOW SELL Clippers @ 24¢ | $18.3k | excluded |
| Warriors vs. Clippers | LOW BUY Clippers @ 93¢ | $70.6k 2.5× usual |
excluded |
| Kings vs. Clippers | LOW SELL Clippers @ 52¢ | $81.1k 2.9× usual |
excluded |
| Kings vs. Clippers | MED BUY Clippers @ 90.5¢ | $137.8k 4.9× usual |
missed |
| Clippers vs. Warriors | LOW BUY Clippers @ 99.9¢ | $53.0k | excluded |
| Rockets vs. Wizards | LOW BUY Rockets @ 89¢ | $20.0k | called |
| Nets vs. Celtics | LOW BUY Celtics @ 91¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
| Thunder vs. Pistons | MED SELL Pistons @ 87¢ | $147.0k 5.2× usual |
excluded |
| Thunder vs. Pistons | MED BUY Pistons @ 79¢ | $127.0k 4.5× usual |
excluded |
| Spurs vs. Raptors | LOW SELL Spurs @ 67¢ | $18.4k | excluded |
| 76ers vs. Pacers | LOW BUY 76ers @ 95¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
Share this record
<a href="https://whalegrader.com/wallet/0x85e5669beee6b80d887493e724987dabc5f56056"><img src="https://whalegrader.com/badge/wallet/0x85e5669beee6b80d887493e724987dabc5f56056.svg" alt="WhaleGrader record"></a>
JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x85e566…