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What this means. A wallet put $110.7k on Nuggets, at a price that gave it a 74% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsexcluded
$110.7k
BUY Nuggets @ 74¢ · 150,440 shares
Size ≥ $100kLate (<1h before start)3.9× this wallet's usual betSports

What happened

Wallet winner877 took Nuggets (buy) for $110.7k at an average 74¢. At that price the market implied a 74% chance for that side. The market resolved Timberwolves. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

MED
Size $110.7k+2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 74¢ means
74%chance the market gave
−278American odds
$1.00paid per share if Nuggets wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
74¢
Implied odds
73.6%
As American odds
−278 no vig
Size
$110.7k
Placed
Apr 20, 22:47 EDT
Market close
Apr 20, 22:30 EDT
Result
Timberwolves
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
winner877
Tx
0x376ce136…
This wallet's graded record
2/2+21.0 pts
expected 1.6 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -74 pts
Nuggets price · entry 74¢ · resolved Timberwolves
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 74¢ · $110.7k WHALE $110.7K @ 74¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Timberwolves vs. NuggetsLOW SELL Timberwolves @ 99.9¢ $12.4k0% blindsamsam186d agoexcluded
Timberwolves vs. NuggetsLOW SELL Timberwolves @ 99.9¢ $11.5k0% pengu888186d agoexcluded
Timberwolves vs. NuggetsLOW SELL Timberwolves @ 99¢ $16.2k1% superbeter007186d agoexcluded
Timberwolves vs. NuggetsLOW SELL Timberwolves @ 99¢ $16.2k1% 0xbba9…f183186d agoexcluded
Timberwolves vs. NuggetsLOW BUY Timberwolves @ 92.2¢ $12.8k92% PowerSupplyUnit186d agoexcluded
Timberwolves vs. NuggetsMED SELL Timberwolves @ 78¢ $35.1k22% wan123186d agoexcluded