← Wallets
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 4. The prices it paid implied about 2.2 wins, so it did -28.8 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-28.8 pts
Called / graded
1/4
Expected from price
2.2
Flagged volume
$1.23M
Sample size4 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±24.9 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$250.8k
Last 30 days +$0 · $10.73M volume · 2,326 trades · since Mar 12, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$1.06M
Open P&L · 53 positions
−$793.9k
Closed-position win rate
66%
232 closed
Wallet age · markets
226d
282 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 3 | 0 | 1.6 | -54.0 pts |
| Other | 1 | 1 | 0.5 | +47.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 1 Winner | LOW BUY G2 Esports @ 68¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
 United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance | LOW BUY United States @ 53¢ | $25.0k | missed |
| United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance | MED BUY United States @ 53¢ | $31.1k | missed |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? | LOW BUY No @ 41¢ | $50.0k 2.0× usual |
excluded |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? | LOW SELL Yes @ 59¢ | $49.2k | excluded |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? | LOW BUY Yes @ 60¢ | $50.0k 2.0× usual |
excluded |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | LOW BUY No @ 54¢ | $23.1k | excluded |
 Knicks vs. Spurs | LOW BUY Knicks @ 36¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
 Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner | LOW SELL Team Yandex @ 99.9¢ | $43.0k | excluded |
| Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner | LOW BUY Team Yandex @ 63¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | LOW SELL Knicks @ 99.9¢ | $21.7k | excluded |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | LOW SELL Knicks @ 99.9¢ | $54.0k 2.2× usual |
excluded |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | LOW BUY Knicks @ 37¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
 Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | LOW BUY Yes @ 53¢ | $60.0k 2.4× usual |
called |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | LOW BUY Thunder @ 41¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers | LOW SELL Knicks @ 99.9¢ | $22.7k | excluded |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks | LOW SELL Knicks @ 99.9¢ | $88.1k 3.5× usual |
excluded |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks | LOW BUY Knicks @ 68¢ | $60.0k 2.4× usual |
excluded |
 Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-17? | LOW BUY No @ 56¢ | $20.0k | missed |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | LOW SELL Pistons @ 62¢ | $27.6k | excluded |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | LOW BUY Pistons @ 45¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves | LOW SELL Timberwolves @ 99.9¢ | $29.6k | excluded |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves | LOW BUY Timberwolves @ 46¢ | $13.6k | excluded |
| Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs | LOW SELL Aurora @ 99.9¢ | $11.1k | excluded |
| Dota 2: PARIVISION vs South America Rejects (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs | LOW SELL PARIVISION @ 99.9¢ | $30.9k | excluded |
| Dota 2: PARIVISION vs South America Rejects (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs | LOW BUY PARIVISION @ 57¢ | $17.5k | excluded |
| Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage | LOW BUY Xtreme Gaming @ 56¢ | $11.7k | excluded |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | LOW SELL Timberwolves @ 99¢ | $16.2k | excluded |
| Warriors vs. Suns | LOW BUY Warriors @ 44¢ | $58.0k 2.3× usual |
excluded |
| Warriors vs. Clippers | LOW SELL Warriors @ 53¢ | $16.7k | excluded |
| Warriors vs. Clippers | LOW BUY Warriors @ 34¢ | $10.6k | excluded |
| Heat vs. Hornets | LOW SELL Hornets @ 99.9¢ | $153.4k 6.1× usual |
excluded |
| Heat vs. Hornets | MED BUY Hornets @ 68¢ | $103.4k 4.1× usual |
called |
Share this record
<a href="https://whalegrader.com/wallet/0xef27152015c5313daf457804e7319e869ed3381b"><img src="https://whalegrader.com/badge/wallet/0xef27152015c5313daf457804e7319e869ed3381b.svg" alt="WhaleGrader record"></a>
JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xef2715…