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What this means. A wallet put $11.1k on not Aurora, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$11.1k
SELL Aurora @ 99.9¢ · 11,153 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet superbeter007 took Aurora (sell) for $11.1k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved Aurora. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $11.1k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.9¢
- Implied odds
- 0.1%
- Size
- $11.1k
- Placed
- Apr 24, 13:58 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 24, 09:35 EDT
- Result
- Aurora
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- superbeter007
- Tx
- 0xc64b81bb…
This wallet's graded record
1/4-28.8 pts
expected 2.2 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs | LOW SELL Aurora @ 99.9¢ | $13.1k | excluded |
| Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs | LOW SELL Aurora @ 99.9¢ | $23.7k | excluded |
| Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs | LOW SELL Aurora @ 99.9¢ | $12.4k | excluded |
| Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs | LOW SELL Aurora @ 99.9¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs | LOW SELL Aurora @ 99.9¢ | $12.1k | excluded |
| Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs | LOW SELL Aurora @ 99.9¢ | $14.7k | excluded |