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What this means. A wallet put $23.1k on No, at a price that gave it a 54% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?excluded
$23.1k
BUY No @ 54¢ · 42,716 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet superbeter007 took No (buy) for $23.1k at an average 54¢. At that price the market implied a 54% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $23.1k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 54¢ means
54%chance the market gave
−117American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
54¢
Implied odds
54.0%
As American odds
−117 no vig
Size
$23.1k
Placed
Jun 18, 20:30 EDT
Market close
Jun 18, 21:00 EDT
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
superbeter007
Tx
0x351d5091…
This wallet's graded record
1/4-28.8 pts
expected 2.2 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -54 pts
No price · entry 54¢ · resolved Yes
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 54¢ · $23.1k WHALE $23.1K @ 54¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $23.1k0% omnibus-424779128d agoexcluded
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $10.0k0% usernamdumbass128d agoexcluded
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?LOW SELL Yes @ 99¢ $20.8k1% LarryDaddy128d agoexcluded
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?LOW BUY Yes @ 90¢ $29.3k90% 0x2c33…0563128d agoexcluded
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?LOW BUY Yes @ 90¢ $11.7k90% suntori LOSING128d agoexcluded
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?LOW SELL Yes @ 87¢ $18.1k13% 0x119b…ac3e128d agoexcluded