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Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $23.1k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?excluded$23.1k
SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ · 23,073 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet omnibus-424779 took Yes (sell) for $23.1k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $23.1k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.9¢
- Implied odds
- 0.1%
- Size
- $23.1k
- Placed
- Jun 18, 22:58 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 18, 21:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- omnibus-424779
- Tx
- 0x2d3dc9c0…
This wallet's graded record
2/2+32.2 pts
expected 1.4 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.0k | excluded |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99¢ | $20.8k | excluded |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | LOW BUY Yes @ 90¢ | $29.3k | excluded |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | LOW BUY Yes @ 90¢ | $11.7k | excluded |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | LOW SELL Yes @ 87¢ | $18.1k | excluded |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | HIGH BUY Yes @ 80¢ | $256.6k 9.7× usual |
excluded |