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omnibus-424779

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 2 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.4 wins, so it did +32.2 pts better than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Open bets: who else is there

Other rated wallets holding the same side, or the other side, of this wallet's open bets.

None of its 1 open bets has a proven or losing wallet on either side yet.

Price-adjusted edge
+32.2 pts
Called / graded
2/2
Expected from price
1.4
Flagged volume
$1.78M
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±32.9 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$558.5k
Last 30 days −$30.9k · $19.43M volume · 20,689 trades · since Mar 24, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L · recent 450 closed
+$398.0k
Open P&L · 222 positions
−$45.3k
Closed-position win rate
100%
450 closed
Wallet age · markets
214d
5968 markets traded

By category

CategoryGradedCalledExpectedEdge
Sports221.4+32.2 pts

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?LOW SELL Yes @ 75¢ $11.6k25% 1d agopending
US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda NoskovaLOW BUY Aryna Sabalenka @ 72¢ $39.7k72% 46d agocalled
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?LOW BUY Yes @ 47¢ $31.6k47% 120d agoexcluded
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $16.7k0% 125d agoexcluded
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $23.1k0% 127d agoexcluded
Will France win on 2026-06-16?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $37.8k0% 129d agoexcluded
Will France win on 2026-06-16?LOW BUY Yes @ 50¢ $18.9k50% 129d agoexcluded
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?LOW BUY Yes @ 64¢ $19.2k64% 133d agocalled
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.2¢ $88.0k
2.3× usual
1% 135d agoexcluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.3¢ $88.1k
2.3× usual
99% 135d agoexcluded
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?HIGH SELL Yes @ 86¢ $117.5k
3.1× usual
14% 137d agoexcluded
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?MED BUY Yes @ 89¢ $122.4k
3.2× usual
89% 137d agoexcluded
Spurs vs. KnicksLOW BUY Knicks @ 54¢ $15.1k54% 137d agoexcluded
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?HIGH SELL Yes @ 87¢ $548.9k
14.5× usual
13% 137d agoexcluded
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?HIGH BUY Yes @ 94.3¢ $605.8k
16.0× usual
94% 137d agoexcluded

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