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What this means. A wallet put $20.0k on Thunder, at a price that gave it a 41% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Thunder vs. Spursexcluded
$20.0k
BUY Thunder @ 41¢ · 48,780 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet superbeter007 took Thunder (buy) for $20.0k at an average 41¢. At that price the market implied a 41% chance for that side. The market resolved Spurs. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $20.0k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 41¢ means
41%chance the market gave
+144American odds
$1.00paid per share if Thunder wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
41¢
Implied odds
41.0%
As American odds
+144 no vig
Size
$20.0k
Placed
May 28, 20:03 EDT
Market close
May 28, 20:30 EDT
Result
Spurs
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
superbeter007
Tx
0x07201c67…
This wallet's graded record
1/4-28.8 pts
expected 2.2 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -41 pts
Thunder price · entry 41¢ · resolved Spurs
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 41¢ · $20.0k WHALE $20.0K @ 41¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Thunder vs. SpursLOW SELL Spurs @ 99.9¢ $83.1k
2.2× usual
0% 0x3dfb…abaf148d agoexcluded
Thunder vs. SpursLOW SELL Spurs @ 99.9¢ $19.3k0% mirroredtrade-RocWins148d agoexcluded
Thunder vs. SpursMED SELL Spurs @ 99.9¢ $184.8k
6.2× usual
0% rwo148d agoexcluded
Thunder vs. SpursLOW SELL Spurs @ 99.9¢ $89.1k
3.1× usual
0% Malfunction.148d agoexcluded
Thunder vs. SpursLOW BUY Spurs @ 99.9¢ $234.8k
7.8× usual
100% rwo148d agoexcluded
Thunder vs. SpursLOW BUY Spurs @ 99.9¢ $31.4k100% Jackenxand148d agoexcluded