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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.6 wins, so it did +39.5 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+39.5 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.6
Flagged volume
$6.47M
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±48.9 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$1.73M
Last 30 days +$58.1k · $29.96M volume · 6,932 trades · since Apr 17, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$4.22M
Open P&L · 3 positions
−$18.4k
Closed-position win rate
77%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
190d
401 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 1 | 0.6 | +39.5 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW BUY Thunder @ 81¢ | $26.5k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Bears @ 73¢ | $15.0k | excluded | |
| MED BUY 76ers @ 88¢ | $32.0k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Timberwolves @ 73¢ | $33.6k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Wizards @ 55¢ | $15.5k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Thunder @ 79¢ | $46.0k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Spurs @ 30¢ | $16.4k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Knicks @ 40¢ | $36.6k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY 76ers @ 59¢ | $31.4k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Knicks @ 66¢ | $11.7k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Pistons @ 86¢ | $46.0k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Celtics @ 81¢ | $72.2k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Falcons @ 47¢ | $48.0k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Ole Miss @ 61¢ | $166.9k 3.7× usual |
excluded | |
| MED BUY LSU @ 38¢ | $44.9k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Giants @ 82¢ | $38.8k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Boston Red Sox @ 75¢ | $15.0k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY France @ 56¢ | $80.0k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 60¢ | $30.0k | called | |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 49¢ | $13.6k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Yes @ 67¢ | $150.0k 3.3× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 58¢ | $100.0k 2.2× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 60¢ | $75.0k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Knicks @ 63¢ | $242.0k 5.4× usual |
excluded | |
| MED BUY Knicks @ 31¢ | $41.5k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Knicks @ 61¢ | $27.7k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Spurs @ 88¢ | $97.9k 2.2× usual |
excluded | |
| MED BUY Knicks @ 12¢ | $80.4k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Spurs @ 88¢ | $120.2k 2.7× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY Knicks @ 19¢ | $11.5k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Knicks @ 48¢ | $44.8k | excluded | |
| HIGH BUY Knicks @ 77¢ | $298.1k 6.7× usual |
excluded | |
| MED BUY Spurs @ 34¢ | $25.8k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Knicks @ 46¢ | $98.6k 2.2× usual |
excluded | |
| HIGH BUY Spurs @ 76¢ | $261.7k 5.8× usual |
excluded | |
| MED BUY Knicks @ 50¢ | $52.3k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Spurs @ 90¢ | $151.9k 3.4× usual |
excluded | |
| MED BUY Thunder @ 28¢ | $71.5k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Spurs @ 49¢ | $35.3k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Spurs @ 71¢ | $82.5k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Thunder @ 89¢ | $56.7k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Spurs @ 73¢ | $43.5k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Thunder @ 22¢ | $36.7k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Knicks @ 67¢ | $151.0k 3.4× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY Cavaliers @ 38¢ | $14.4k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Thunder @ 89¢ | $102.3k 2.3× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY Spurs @ 12¢ | $22.9k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Thunder @ 75¢ | $80.8k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Knicks @ 84¢ | $20.3k | excluded | |
| HIGH BUY Thunder @ 90¢ | $254.9k 5.7× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY Spurs @ 5¢ | $12.3k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Knicks @ 18¢ | $25.3k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Cavaliers @ 67¢ | $112.8k 2.5× usual |
excluded | |
| MED BUY Knicks @ 37¢ | $65.2k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Spurs @ 72¢ | $55.4k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Thunder @ 54¢ | $27.6k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Thunder @ 48¢ | $80.6k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Spurs @ 56¢ | $85.4k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Pistons @ 66¢ | $118.5k 2.6× usual |
excluded | |
| MED BUY Cavaliers @ 41¢ | $47.4k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Cavaliers @ 92¢ | $26.8k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Pistons @ 65¢ | $168.5k 3.8× usual |
excluded | |
| MED BUY Cavaliers @ 45¢ | $68.0k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Pistons @ 65¢ | $79.7k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Spurs @ 77¢ | $37.5k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Timberwolves @ 21¢ | $12.0k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Thunder @ 61¢ | $219.4k 4.9× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY Lakers @ 20¢ | $12.4k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Cavaliers @ 88¢ | $85.6k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Spurs @ 83¢ | $103.1k 2.3× usual |
excluded | |
| MED BUY Spurs @ 72¢ | $103.8k 2.3× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY 76ers @ 34¢ | $15.8k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Knicks @ 71¢ | $107.0k 2.4× usual |
excluded | |
| MED BUY Thunder @ 82¢ | $146.5k 3.3× usual |
excluded | |
| MED BUY Knicks @ 84¢ | $70.3k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Timberwolves @ 93¢ | $25.5k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Spurs @ 75¢ | $37.4k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Cavaliers @ 92¢ | $14.0k | excluded | |
| MED BUY 76ers @ 79¢ | $83.1k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Magic @ 66¢ | $29.3k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Pistons @ 32¢ | $11.1k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Timberwolves @ 87¢ | $112.4k 2.5× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY Nuggets @ 30¢ | $10.1k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Rockets @ 74¢ | $95.4k 2.1× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY Lakers @ 21¢ | $13.0k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Magic @ 71¢ | $70.9k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Pistons @ 39¢ | $12.7k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Timberwolves @ 50¢ | $12.3k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Trail Blazers @ 79¢ | $29.0k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Hawks @ 59¢ | $32.2k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Pistons @ 90.6¢ | $18.8k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Timberwolves @ 92.2¢ | $12.8k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Nuggets @ 63¢ | $36.4k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Timberwolves @ 40¢ | $11.4k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Hawks @ 92.1¢ | $15.3k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Knicks @ 89¢ | $27.8k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Magic @ 78¢ | $88.3k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Pistons @ 42¢ | $13.5k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Knicks @ 89¢ | $94.8k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x6db568…