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Will France win on 2026-06-26?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $47.7k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 95% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will France win on 2026-06-26?excluded$47.7k
BUY Yes @ 95.5¢ · 50,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)2.6× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet StudentMoney took Yes (buy) for $47.7k at an average 95.5¢. At that price the market implied a 95% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $47.7k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 95¢ means
95%chance the market gave
−2122American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 95.5¢
- Implied odds
- 95.5%
- As American odds
- −2122 no vig
- Size
- $47.7k
- Placed
- Jun 26, 15:45 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 26, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- StudentMoney
- Tx
- 0x03c2a218…
This wallet's graded record
2/4-14.2 pts
expected 2.6 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +5 ptsYes price · entry 95.5¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win on 2026-06-26? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.1k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-06-26? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $13.4k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-06-26? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.7¢ | $31.4k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-06-26? | LOW BUY Yes @ 98.4¢ | $49.9k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-06-26? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.2¢ | $10.9k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-06-26? | LOW SELL Yes @ 98.7¢ | $11.0k | excluded |