← Wallets
+$20.0kYes · avg 65¢ → 85¢ · $84.2k+$13.5kYes · avg 70¢ → 83¢ · $83.9k+$1,682No · avg 82¢ → 84¢ · $81.0k · 1 proven with, 0 against+$8,517Yes · avg 36¢ → 46¢ · $36.8k−$5,419Yes · avg 22¢ → 16¢ · $16.1k+$1,069No · avg 86¢ → 97.2¢ · $9,356+$1,616No · avg 73¢ → 91.5¢ · $7,935+$40No · avg 97¢ → 97.7¢ · $6,347
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 2 of 4. The prices it paid implied about 2.6 wins, so it did -14.2 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-14.2 pts
Called / graded
2/4
Expected from price
2.6
Flagged volume
$391.1k
Sample size4 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±15.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$45.9k
Last 30 days +$38.7k · $26.61M volume · 38,605 trades · since Sep 03, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$758.1k
Open P&L · 78 positions
+$32.0k
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
781d
1729 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 3 | 2 | 1.9 | +2.3 pts |
| Other | 1 | 0 | 0.6 | -63.8 pts |
History
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