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What this means. A wallet put $63.9k on No, at a price that gave it a 39% chance. It lost. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-3.4 pts over 28 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$63.9k
BUY No @ 39¢ · 163,934 shares in 3 fills
Size ≥ $10k3 fills in 1h3.4× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet sbsigner took No (buy) for $63.9k at an average 39¢. At that price the market implied a 39% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $63.9k+1
3 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 39¢ means
39%chance the market gave
+156American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 39¢
- Implied odds
- 39.0%
- As American odds
- +156 no vig
- Size
- $63.9k
- Placed
- Jun 26, 02:01 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 26, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- sbsigner
- Tx
- 0x6be5d26d…
This wallet's graded record
11/28-3.4 pts
expected 11.9 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -39 ptsNo price · entry 39¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will France win on 2026-06-26? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.1k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-06-26? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $13.4k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-06-26? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.7¢ | $31.4k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-06-26? | LOW BUY Yes @ 98.4¢ | $49.9k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-06-26? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.2¢ | $10.9k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-06-26? | LOW SELL Yes @ 98.7¢ | $11.0k | excluded |