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What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$231.8k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$4,539
Last 30 days +$0 · $1.69M volume · 490 trades · since Jun 17, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$88.4k
Open P&L · 13 positions
−$93.2k
Closed-position win rate
84%
38 closed
Wallet age · markets
129d
52 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | LOW SELL Yes @ 90.8¢ | $18.1k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? | LOW SELL Yes @ 18¢ | $10.6k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? | LOW BUY Yes @ 66¢ | $12.6k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-06-30? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.6¢ | $66.0k 3.4× usual |
excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-06-30? | LOW BUY Yes @ 72¢ | $21.1k | excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? | LOW SELL Yes @ 72¢ | $10.4k | excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? | LOW BUY Yes @ 59¢ | $29.6k | called |
| Will France win on 2026-06-26? | LOW BUY Yes @ 87¢ | $26.0k | excluded |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $26.0k | excluded |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $11.4k | excluded |
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