tttrtrtrtrtr

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.1 wins, so it did -7.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Price-adjusted edge

-7.0 pts

Called / graded

1/2

Expected from price

1.1

Flagged volume

$343.6k

Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±34.9 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

−$56.6k

Last 30 days +$0 · $1.18M volume · 34 trades · since Jun 11, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L

+$155.0k

Open P&L · 7 positions

−$208.0k

Closed-position win rate

89%

9 closed

Wallet age · markets

135d

16 markets traded

By category

Category	Graded	Called	Expected	Edge
Sports	2	1	1.1	-7.0 pts

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?	LOW BUY Yes @ 50¢	$99.0k 6.6× usual	50%	120d ago	excluded
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?	LOW BUY Yes @ 53¢	$15.0k	53%	121d ago	missed
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?	LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢	$23.4k	0%	122d ago	excluded
Will France win on 2026-06-26?	LOW BUY Yes @ 61¢	$15.0k	61%	122d ago	called
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?	LOW SELL Yes @ 97.9¢	$48.1k 3.2× usual	2%	123d ago	excluded
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?	LOW BUY Yes @ 64¢	$15.0k	64%	123d ago	called
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢	$23.1k	0%	123d ago	excluded
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?	LOW SELL Yes @ 99.4¢	$24.1k	1%	124d ago	excluded
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	LOW BUY Yes @ 65¢	$15.0k	65%	124d ago	called
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?	LOW BUY Yes @ 62¢	$15.0k	62%	124d ago	called
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢	$21.4k	0%	125d ago	excluded
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	LOW BUY Yes @ 70¢	$15.0k	70%	125d ago	called
Spurs vs. Knicks	LOW BUY Knicks @ 21¢	$14.5k	21%	135d ago	excluded

Will United States win on 2026-06-25?excluded

BUY Yes @ 50¢$99.0k

LOW tttrtrtrtrtr · 120d ago

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?missed

BUY Yes @ 53¢$15.0k

LOW tttrtrtrtrtr · 121d ago

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?excluded

SELL Yes @ 99.9¢$23.4k

LOW tttrtrtrtrtr · 122d ago

Will France win on 2026-06-26?called

BUY Yes @ 61¢$15.0k

LOW tttrtrtrtrtr · 122d ago

Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?excluded

SELL Yes @ 97.9¢$48.1k

LOW tttrtrtrtrtr · 123d ago

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?called

BUY Yes @ 64¢$15.0k

LOW tttrtrtrtrtr · 123d ago

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?excluded

SELL Yes @ 99.9¢$23.1k

LOW tttrtrtrtrtr · 123d ago

Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?excluded

SELL Yes @ 99.4¢$24.1k

LOW tttrtrtrtrtr · 124d ago

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?called

BUY Yes @ 65¢$15.0k

LOW tttrtrtrtrtr · 124d ago

Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?called

BUY Yes @ 62¢$15.0k

LOW tttrtrtrtrtr · 124d ago

Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?excluded

SELL Yes @ 99.9¢$21.4k

LOW tttrtrtrtrtr · 125d ago

Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?called

BUY Yes @ 70¢$15.0k

LOW tttrtrtrtrtr · 125d ago

Spurs vs. Knicksexcluded

BUY Knicks @ 21¢$14.5k

LOW tttrtrtrtrtr · 135d ago

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