Ru386

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.3 wins, so it did -28.9 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?+$762Yes · avg 43¢ → 76¢ · $1,767 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?−$289Yes · avg 64¢ → 50¢ · $1,011 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?+$438No · avg 36¢ → 88¢ · $737 · 1 proven with, 0 against Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?−$18Yes · avg 20¢ → 20¢ · $682 Kash Patel out by December 31?+$262No · avg 42¢ → 80¢ · $562 Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?+$207Yes · avg 37¢ → 62¢ · $507 Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?−$10Yes · avg 52¢ → 51¢ · $490 Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?+$27Yes · avg 22¢ → 24¢ · $427

Price-adjusted edge

-28.9 pts

Called / graded

0/1

Expected from price

0.3

Flagged volume

$135.8k

Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±45.3 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

−$102.6k

Last 30 days −$2,516 · $11.99M volume · 11,762 trades · since Apr 06, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L · recent 500 closed

+$862.2k

Open P&L · 500 positions

−$504.9k

Closed-position win rate

100%

500 closed

Wallet age · markets

201d

6138 markets traded

By category

Category	Graded	Called	Expected	Edge
Sports	1	0	0.3	-28.9 pts

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢	$58.1k 4.4× usual	0%	96d ago	excluded
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?	LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢	$11.0k	0%	117d ago	excluded
Will France win on 2026-06-26?	LOW BUY Yes @ 95.4¢	$15.0k	95%	119d ago	excluded
Spurs vs. Knicks	MED SELL Knicks @ 60¢	$29.2k 2.2× usual	40%	135d ago	excluded
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	LOW SELL Yes @ 71¢	$11.2k	29%	137d ago	missed
Thunder vs. Spurs	LOW SELL Thunder @ 99.9¢	$11.3k	0%	154d ago	excluded

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded

SELL Yes @ 99.9¢$58.1k

LOW Ru386 · 96d ago

Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?excluded

SELL Yes @ 99.9¢$11.0k

LOW Ru386 · 117d ago

Will France win on 2026-06-26?excluded

BUY Yes @ 95.4¢$15.0k

LOW Ru386 · 119d ago

Spurs vs. Knicksexcluded

SELL Knicks @ 60¢$29.2k

MED Ru386 · 135d ago

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?missed

SELL Yes @ 71¢$11.2k

LOW Ru386 · 137d ago

Thunder vs. Spursexcluded

SELL Thunder @ 99.9¢$11.3k

LOW Ru386 · 154d ago

Share this record

<a href="https://whalegrader.com/wallet/0x1d603dad31fac599c1de6b6002d066993460453d"><img src="https://whalegrader.com/badge/wallet/0x1d603dad31fac599c1de6b6002d066993460453d.svg" alt="WhaleGrader record"></a>

JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x1d603d…