← Wallets
−$231No · avg 88¢ → 82¢ · $2,892
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.2 wins, so it did -20.3 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-20.3 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.2
Flagged volume
$54.7k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±40.2 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$12.1k
Last 30 days +$0 · $99.72M volume · 143,034 trades · since Nov 30, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$5.35M
Open P&L · 32 positions
−$192.7k
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
2154d
3132 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 1 | 0 | 0.2 | -20.3 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will France win on 2026-06-26? | LOW BUY Yes @ 72¢ | $27.4k | excluded |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 80¢ | $12.0k | missed |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | LOW BUY Yes @ 98.4¢ | $15.3k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x4cc352…