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What this means. A wallet put $12.0k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 20% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$12.0k
SELL Yes @ 80¢ · 15,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideOther
What happened
Wallet CrunchWrapoDeLaFuente took Yes (sell) for $12.0k at an average 80¢. At that price the market implied a 20% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $12.0k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 80¢
- Implied odds
- 20.3%
- Size
- $12.0k
- Placed
- Jun 14, 17:54 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 14, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- CrunchWrapoDeLaFuente
- Tx
- 0xc8a4c586…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-20.3 pts
expected 0.2 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -20 ptsYes price · entry 80¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $31.3k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.0k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $13.5k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $50.0k 2.8× usual |
excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $134.1k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded |