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0xfef4…29bd

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$97.4k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$1,528
Last 30 days +$0 · $1.46M volume · 1,587 trades · since Jun 13, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
+$5,918
Open P&L · 12 positions
−$4,315
Closed-position win rate
80%
80 closed
Wallet age · markets
133d
83 markets traded

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $13.5k100% 128d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $20.6k0% 128d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?LOW SELL No @ 99.5¢ $13.7k1% 129d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?LOW BUY Yes @ 97.1¢ $23.3k97% 130d agoexcluded
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ $15.9k0% 130d agoexcluded
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.7¢ $10.5k100% 130d agoexcluded

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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xfef4ed…